Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (78964)	5/10/2008 1:32:16 AM
From: koan	Read Replies (1) of 116555

LIG: "Oil is in a full blown blow-off top and the CRB chart is deteriorating (weak RSI with higher highs). If history is a guide, a 40% decline is entirely possible. This is bullish for gold. There is a great article on SafeHaven outlining the similarity to the current period and 2001 - a great year for gold stocks." koan: "I think we are in a paradigm shift LIG. Asia is not only consumming everything at huge rates, but eating meat for the first time which takes even more grain. They drive motor scooters that get a 100 miles to the gallon, but there are 3.3 billion people over there. The number of peopel in china and India who have cars are not even in double digits yet. I think the oil fields are not only falling fast )Hubbert), but they ruined a lot of fields high grading them e.g. russia big time. I know all the charts and common sense say this is a huge bubble, but I bought more oil stocks today? I may be nuts, many think so-lol. More BNK wts (reworking huge heavy oil field in albania. I didn't even know there was an Albania-lol, but not only that, but then I found out it is also a democracy. What if Hezbolla in the Beriut thing joins with Hezbolla in Basra; and the latest news I saw said Hezbolla is gaining ground and Lebanon is in real danger of falling. We could be seeing the beginning of a full scale middle east civil war between sunnie and shia. Instead of Iraq, we should have used the money to bolstered the democracy in lebanon. Talk about creatins doing the military planning. The first 10 people you see on the street could probably have doen a better job with our military planning than these Custorites who led us right into a quagmire with no chance of accomplishing or winning anything1 except making th eworld a mor edangerous place.

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