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Strategies & Market Trends : US Economic Trend Analysis

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To: gpowell who wrote (52)5/29/2008 12:35:58 PM
From: gpowell of 97
 
As most investors already know, the housing retraction did produce secondary effects in credit markets. But as is evident from the charts housing prices were not driven to extraordinary levels by "loose" credit - although we can say that "loose" credit helped "grease" the way.

The secondary effects were/are the product of risk concentration in the mortgage backed security market. Simply put, without implied government support the MBS market would have spread risk across a multitude of buyers and likely would have developed bank monitoring mechanisms so as to avoid the principle agent problem which developed when Banks found it profitable to abandon their traditional role of risk assessors.
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