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Strategies & Market Trends : US Economic Trend Analysis

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (68)	6/9/2008 7:48:53 PM
From: gpowell	Read Replies (1) of 97

LOL. 2003 was an interesting year on SI. I had taken a long break from SI - but came back to take a look and found the mood almost universally gloomy. I made a few posts to bring up some positives but found few if any that were willing to see the positive side. Grace and Ahhaha were among the exceptions. Not surprising so, as we tend to look at the same underlying data. I believe ahhaha called the bottom with pretty good accuracy. Here is one of my first posts in 2003 - Message 18930629 By the time I made this post I already saw money flowing back into tech stocks - HARD - particularly optical stocks. So I was fulling expecting 2003 - 2004 to be pretty good years. Here's ahhaha's post: Message 17369815 The attractiveness of the boom/bust cycle theory is every rise can be explained by increases in credit - as credit does increase with expanding GDP. But as this thread has maintained - an expanding market creates it's own money, which is something hard money advocates don't want to admit. Thus, RIMM going from bubble to even bigger bubble simply means it's just got that much farther to fall!

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