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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: Bearcatbob who wrote (71328)6/10/2008 7:56:44 AM
From: biotech_bull  Read Replies (2) of 543165
 
Three months ago the Euro and $ were about where they are today

Bob,

I think it's hard to make a strong case based on a 3 month chart.
Here is the same chart in a longer time frame - it is clear the 3 month chart misses the big picture.
finance.yahoo.com

Markets are complex and it's too much to ask for linear correlation but it is safe to say that a big part of the rise in the price of oil can be attributed to the weakness of the dollar relative to the Euro. The spike in Euro starting in late Jan-early Feb could be attributed to Iran going to the Euro as the standard currency.

Some of the rise is definitely due to inflation, if one compares the price of gold to oil.

BB

Edit: Interesting that the spike in Euro didn't start till 2002 although Iraq went to the Euro standard in 2000
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