TJ, Did you see the dopey dictators of China have ordered that 100 million TD-SCDMA subscribers shall be created? Hilarious. Poor China. Message 24696508 < HONG KONG, June 20 (Reuters) - CHINA has instructed the parent of CHINA Mobile to enroll over 100 million mobile subscribers using homegrown 3G technology within 3 years to ensure the success of the system, a newspaper reported Friday.>
They saw the great success of the Euroserfs being forced to buy GSM and W-CDMA. Monkey see, monkey do. They thought they'd do the same swindle. They didn't allow for timing. When the Eurocrats did that one, and the GSM Guild grabbed it with both hands, the GSM Guild were able to get ahead of CDMA by Qualcomm because Qualcomm was battling to grow and get the technology accepted around the world.
If TD-SCDMA was AHEAD of W-CDMA and CDMA2000 and the rest of the world wasn't already using those other two, then yes, TD-SCDMA might have been a good idea. But since it doesn't have technological merits extra to CDMA2000 or even W-CDMA, it doesn't have a chance. It could beat W-CDMA because W-CDMA is loaded with silly GSM Cartel bells and whistles and the associated royalties as part of the GSM Guild's swindle, but even that is unlikely given the head start of W-CDMA around the world.
China's strategy should be to go Gung Ho with Qualcomm and CDMA2000/OFDM-A in 450MHz [or even 800MHz] and leverage their home advantage into global dominance.
Instead, they'll go the way of Japan with their home-grown PHS obsolete technology which was NOT adopted around the world.
But rule number one when dealing with governments is find out what they want, then give it to them, along with a huge bill for services rendered. Get the money up front, because there won't be any profits to collect on. If they want TD-SCDMA, give it to them, AFTER they pay big heap wampum.
Plus ca change.
Mqurice |