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Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD
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To: Amark$p who wrote (121175)7/1/2008 1:15:59 PM
From: koan  Read Replies (3) of 313017
 
amark:"Hope Coxe is right on those sunspots, that will discredit those greenies even more..."

koan: " cox is wrong"

As mentioned, my son in law has a phd in atmospheric chemistry from UC Irving (one of the leading atmosphric universities in the world) and studies global warming as an occupation at a major university in Oregon. He does teach a physics course for his bread and butter. He also studied global warming under a NOAA grant at the U of wash.

He knows personally many, if not most of the leading atmospheric research scientists in the world and communicates with them daily. He was also invited to interview for a postion at cambride where hawkings is. Just to show he has credentials.

He tells me almost all of the top atmospheric chemists in the world agree that global warming is man made. It is a very compliated subject, like brain surgery.

I often argue, if you had a brain tumor would you seek advice from a guy like Cox or would you see a brain surgeon.

But there is another statistical way to figure the probability it is sun spots. The artic ice pack has been stable for millions of years. Now it looks like it is about to completely melt in the next few yers. No artic ice cap at all.

What is the probability random sun spots is causing the artic ice pack to melt now, when we know rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere causes a heating of the earth and we know humans are just recently spewing huge amounts of carbon dioxide in the air and in the last 10 years or so most of those years had world record heat temperatures going back thousands of years.

Applying a statisical probability equation to the melting of the artic ice pack would probably give one confidence to the .01 level that it was not random sun spots, but rather something else.

cheers,
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