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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Madharry who wrote (31359)7/3/2008 11:06:47 AM
From: Grommit  Read Replies (2) of 78486
 
MCGC to ACAS. I was in the mood for safety, and my gut says that ACAS is safer. I hope that the each wrote off everything they could legitimately justify in the last qtr, but we may see more. Safety? -- for example, here are clips from each press release from last May. ACAS sounds a bit safer, that's all.

ACAS
American Capital reiterates its 2008 dividend forecast of $4.19 per share, a 13% growth over total 2007 dividends of $3.72 per share.

American Capital reiterates its forecast that its 2008 ordinary taxable income will exceed its 2007 ordinary taxable income. American Capital forecasts that almost half of its 2008 ordinary taxable income will be rolled over into 2009 to pay 2009 dividends.

American Capital reiterates its forecast that its 2008 taxable net long term capital gains will exceed its 2007 taxable net long term capital gains. American Capital forecasts that all of its 2008 taxable net long term capital gains will be rolled over into 2009 to pay 2009 dividends.

American Capital reiterates its forecast that it will roll over more than $500 million of ordinary taxable income and net long term capital gains from 2008 into 2009.

MCGC
Due to the current dislocation of the CLO market, which we believe may continue for an extended period of time, we and other companies in the commercial finance sector will have to access alternative debt markets in order to grow. The debt capital that will be available will most likely be at a higher cost, and terms and conditions may be less favorable. This has resulted and will continue to result in significant slowing of our origination activity during 2008.

In the event that the United States economy enters into an extended downturn or a recession, it is possible that the results of some of the middle market companies similar to those in which we invest could experience deterioration which could ultimately lead to difficulty in meeting debt service requirements and an increase in defaults. While we are not seeing signs of an overall deterioration in the operating results of our portfolio companies at this time, there can be no assurance that the performance of certain of our portfolio companies will not be affected adversely by economic conditions, which could have a negative impact on our future results.
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