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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: combjelly who wrote (398270)7/13/2008 6:10:17 AM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (2) of 1574856
 
I think you may be underestimating the infrastructure required to convert all those cars and deliver the NG. How long does that take to put in place? Right now we have many cars that get better than 35 MPG, hybrids are and will be gaining market share, plug in hybrids that should get upwards towards 100 MPG are less than 2 years away, all electric is probably less than 5 years away.

On average the fleet turns over every 7-10 years (might be extended if we have a long recession or worse). If we were to give strong incentives to gasoline efficiency (and disincentives to inefficiency) we might be able to push that turn over to less than 6 years, with incremental improvement every year. That might give us a 50% reduction in passenger car gasoline consumption in 5 years; maybe 80% in 10 years.

NG might be a great solution for those that absolutely have to have a large SUV or pick-up, and certainly a good solution for large vehicles. With a gasoline efficiency tax the SUV owner would have that conversion option; it would be technology agnostic. I could see it running parallel to the move to electric passenger cars. And I'm glad to see it on the table.

In fact I'm glad to see someone of Pickens stature step up to the plate with ANY specific solution. It gets the mainstream thinking solutions instead of whining about gas prices. Focus; we desperately need focus on solutions.
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