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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (31507)7/16/2008 9:48:27 AM
From: Jurgis Bekepuris  Read Replies (2) of 78548
 
Nice analysis, but with Heebner's turnover it is quite possible that he does not hold most of these stocks by now.

Edit: For fun, I'll add my opinion:

US Steel - with most of the steels, I am not sure if they can pass the high cost of iron ore and coal to their consumers. I have PKX, but I would probably not buy any steels on macro reasons. OTOH, they may be somewhat "oligopolists" if steel cannot be efficiently exported/imported. Then they could hold margins fine.

Nucor - Expensive.

American Mobile (AMX) - Expensive

Arcelor Mittal. - Not interested based on jumpy ROE

Washington Mutual. - Was always quite dinky, not sure what Bill Nygren saw in it.

Brazilian Petroleum Corporation or PBR. - I have some. A hold at these prices.

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) - Not interested based on jumpy ROE

Mosaic and Potash: Ditto on missed the fertilizer boom and not clear whether this will continue.

Southern Copper PCU. - Not interested based on jumpy ROE

Schlumberger SLB. Not interested based on jumpy ROE

Monsanto - Not interested based on low ROE

Alcoa - Not interested based on low ROE

Itau, Bradesco, Unibanco - do not buy banks and other financials except for Buffett's holdings.

Devon - Hold here.

Weatherford - Not interested based on low ROE

Companhia Siderurgica Nacional SID. - High debt/equity.

Gerdau GGB - see above on steels.

Vimpel - I hold small position, may sell though. Not very cheap.

Tuckcell - valuation looks good, but prospects unclear.

Apache - Hold.

Mechel - expensive

Alum. Co. of China - no opinion
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