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Strategies & Market Trends : Peabody Coal vanguard retirement forum

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From: MACD X	7/16/2008 4:27:12 PM
	of 75

07 16 08 remain in the bond fund stockcharts.com[s116042249]&disp=O the list above is the fund that are available to use, if you have been following this site long you will understand that all fund are in a down trend and it is my recommendation to stay out of the stock market at this time. The present down turn is getting somewhat lengthy and a up turn is possible. If you look at every individual chart you will notice they all have the blue and red line on them, yes every chart, as this is the signaling system. Most are now very stretched from the blue line. So I am watching and my make a call to enter or change funds but only when the desire fund has crossed the blue line at some point in the future. This may take weeks or months. I continue to believe that the market will be down until some time frame in the 2010 area. I feel this way because of time cycles that I follow and they all point to 2010 so lets wait and see. I certainly are cautions at this time. another servey that I watch is the sentiment survey, it is on the link below market-harmonics.com currently there are twice as many people that are bearish on the market than there are bullish. This has historically been a sign that they market is ready for a substainable up trend. If fact this may be the worst sentiment ready of all times, I am not sure of this but certain a very bearish reading. It is also historically the time when the market turns. During the fall of 2000 the sentiment reading where bullish thru the most all of the down turn. It is very unusual to get extreme bearish reading should as on the sentiment reading above. but until a crossing of one of the charts above over at least the first blue line remain cautious as this bear market could get very nasty before it ends.

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