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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout

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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (10957)7/25/2008 11:36:32 AM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (3) of 50101
 
>> - is assuming that inflation is the
weapon of choice among those who pull the Fed's strings.

It wasn't in 1929... and it may not be again. <<

Now there's a cliffhanger <g> -- I mean, conventional wisdom has always been (even if it is incorrect) is that the depression was caused by lack of sufficient or timely money expansion. To me the means of the destruction of the value of the currency matters little -- whether it is explicit or some new backdoor method.

But this notwithstanding -- suppose the Fed does not do what the Fed always does -- punish holders of greenbacks. Suppose they actually defend the buck for a change -- what then? Gold has shown a pretty nice short term correlation with oil and other commodities -- but does anyone here seriously think oil is going back to $30/barrel and PoG back to 300/oz?

The shares may suck for a while, but pessimism is at an extreme. I suspect physical holders of gold will not be disappointed any time in the next 3-5 year if their basis is 700-800 bucks. Furthermore -- I expect buyers of quality gold shares are more likely to be rewarded than thrashed over the next 6-9 months:

if for no other reason

stockcharts.com

Disclosure: added to IAG this morning.
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