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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Road Walker who wrote (401801)	7/25/2008 3:58:10 PM
From: longnshort	Read Replies (1) of 1575422

Two elections "If you want to start worrying about the presidential election this year, you can look at the comparison between 1996 and 2008," the New Republic's John B. Judis writes in a blog at www.tnr.com. "John McCain is a similar candidate to Bob Dole — a war hero, running on his experience, but also somewhat past his political prime. The Democrats had the advantage of incumbency in 1996, but of course Bill Clinton had been rebuked by voters in 1994. In July 1996, Democrats only enjoyed a 5.1 percent advantage in generic congressional polls. Yet in late July, Clinton was ahead of Dole in one Harris poll by 22 percent and in a Gallup poll by 17 percent. Although Dole would close the gap during the convention and the last weeks of the campaign — when the Clinton campaign scandals broke — the election was all but over," Mr. Judis said. "In 2008, McCain is running about as inept a campaign as Dole. And Democrats enjoy an average lead of 11.6 percent in generic Congress polls. In addition, the Republican administration is wildly unpopular; the economy is in a tailspin; and the Iraqi president has endorsed Barack Obama's withdrawal plan. Yet Obama is only running an average of 4.5 percent ahead of McCain in the polls … "By all odds, a Democratic nominee should be running 10-15 percent ahead at this time. My explanation is the same tired one. Obama remains the 'mysterious stranger' rather than the 'American Adam' to too many voters who are put off rather than attracted by his race and exotic background."

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