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Strategies & Market Trends : John Pitera's Market Laboratory

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From: nspolar7/29/2008 1:11:12 PM
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The motif in the general markets since the last pivot low is still up, and will likely remain up until end of August or so. Then the shit will hit once again this year, latter part of Sept and on into Oct for sure.

The motif in the dollar is up and will remain up for weeks.

The motif in the HUI is down and will remain down for weeks. My target low for later this year is 235. Will start looking however at around 290.

I tend to doubt the next big low in the HUI is the final low. I favor a decent low late this year, a good bounce first half of next year, followed by a double bottom or a slightly lower low (190 area for example). I think that happens in the fall (of 2009).

Even so I intend to make some LT type buys, starting late this year. We will w/o doubt be getting into the area for LT investing again. And some issues I suspect will actually start moves up this year and put in higher lows next year.

2010 and for a few years beyond will be very boisterous for base and precious metals, imo. The HUI will enter a huge B wave that will take it to a new all time high. Many will once again pronounce that the vaunted 3rd wave is in effect, but alas it will once again be a premature prediction. No matter, a B top of 600 to 700 in the HUI, from 190, will be a tremendous move.

Paas shorts, GG puts, Dug calls doing super.

TF
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