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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout

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To: ecrire who wrote (10988)7/29/2008 8:55:36 PM
From: bluezuu   of 50011
 
Anyone studied the Merrill Lynch capitalization plan announced today?. One item that stands out is that they themselves are supplying most of the financing for the purchase of their CDO's by Lone Star..selling those CDO's, notional value over $30 billion for $6+ billion.

Barry Ritholtz looked at it and posted the below.

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Let's take this apart:

• Merrill appears to be moving $30.6 billion dollars of bad paper off of their books.

• This paper was carried at a value of $11.1, meaning there was almost $20B in prior related write downs.

• After this transaction, Merrill’s ABS CDO exposure in theory drops from $19.9 billion to $8.8 billion (hence, the $11.1B number).

• The $6.7B purchase price relative to the $30.6B notational value is 21.8% on the dollar

However:

• Merrill is providing 75% of the financing –- and MER’s only recourse in the event of default is to retake the CDO paper back from the buyer.

• While Merrill hopes to be made whole, the reality is they still have potential exposure to these ABS CDOs via the financing;

• Actual sale price = 5.47% on the dollar

Less than five and half cents on the dollar? That's an even cheaper sale than originally advertised.

What this transaction actually accomplishes is getting the paper -- but not the full liability -- off of Merrill's books.

How very Enron-like !

bigpicture.typepad.com
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