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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis
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To: HH who wrote (9735)7/30/2008 3:00:52 AM
From: dybdahl  Read Replies (2) of 71449
 
All discussions about economy are based on unprecise numbers and unprecise knowledge. Therefore, everything is about probabilities: What is the chance of a recession/serious situation/recovery etc. Imbalances influence probabilities.

When making investment decisions, you should not pick one scenario as the most likely, and then invest based on that scenario. You should pick a number of scenarios, judge the likeliness of them, and then see, which investment choice gives you the best risk/reward profile.
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