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Pastimes : The Philosophical Porch

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To: Real Man who wrote (3191)8/4/2008 12:13:33 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) of 26251
 
<<You will see stock market dump, RE dump, bond market dump, dollar dump - the whole bearish fun enchilada.>>

"The whole bearish fun enchilada" includes Gold.

<<No way. This is very desperate official intervention before a
currency run>>

I try to stay away from unqualifiers such as, "no way" in a bear market because the backdrop is uncertain.

The trading session is still young. So, there is still "hope", of course, for the bulls. But what I am observing here is quite alarming thus far for the POG. First off, the mining stocks continue to break down. If GDX does recapture the $42 level, another 20% haircut and retest of its 52 week low looks likely. There is a head and shoulders pattern here. Secondly, $HUI is also at a critical juncture. If that index does not reverse "en pronto" here, a decline to the 295-300 level appears likely.

A global economic downturn will most likely depress the POG short term.

As always, the Market will be the judge.

I remain short Gold, Nasdaq 100 and the 30 year Bond.
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