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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: Tenchusatsu who wrote (404337)8/4/2008 8:49:18 PM
From: combjelly  Read Replies (1) of 1575036
 
"Exactly. There are indeed lots of reasons, but the "peak oil" fallacy would prevent us from even trying to decrease the rate of decline."

No it doesn't. Why do you feel the need to just make stuff up?

"Just as much as you are subscribing to the "we are already out of oil, period!" school of thought."

You go to great lengths to belittle and put down stuff you give few signs of understanding. This is one of them.

I have never said we are already out of oil. I did say the easy, big finds are gone. There might be some hard, big finds out there, Brazil got one, but that isn't all that clear how many of those are left or what it would cost to produce them. Brazil is running into the latter problem. Certainly betting that they are out there and we don't need to seek alternatives anytime soon is a fool's gambit.

Labeling "peak oil" as a fallacy is to ignore the existing evidence. Now, you have a point that we could produce more in the US. But there is no reason to suspect that we could exceed the 1972 peak. Prudhoe couldn't do that. We might be able to halt the decline in production, maybe even reverse it a little. But we aren't going to more than double what we can produce now without tapping things like coal gasification or oil shale and sands. And we don't have the technology to do those things right now at the level required to make much of a dent.

Those are the facts. No fallacies involved.
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