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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Grommit who wrote (31703)8/5/2008 5:24:51 PM
From: Madharry  Read Replies (1) of 78758
 
I dont have an answer to that. however it isnt going to take long at these prices for people to switch from heating oil to natural gas, on top of that if NG continues to be $20 abroad and $8 here only a matter of time before that NG gets shipped off to foreign countries. People in my area are switching out of heating oil as they can no longer lock in pricing for their winter heating costs. As Ive explained repeatedly once NG hits $9 in any given year CHK starts to hedge and locks in nice profits. CHK is one of my largest positions and if it goes down more and I have the funds I will probably buy more I dont believe its possible for oil to be over $100 a barrel and for NG to stay below $10 for any length of time. If MCDEP says the stock is worth $80 and one can make a plausible case that is worth $125-$150 thats good enough for me. Having said that I own lots of oil stocks too, but dont think I know them as well as I think I understand CHK.
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