America On-Line: will it survive ...? Message Board

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Technology Stocks : America On-Line: will it survive ...?

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To: craig who wrote (5099)	10/18/1997 11:23:00 AM
From: MW	of 13594

I hate to jump in to this bear love fest you guys have going on but I've been quietly following this board since I went long aol at 44 in April 97 but I wanted to thank you for all the laughs you've given me over the last 6 months especially Brent backing up his truck to buy puts at 65 or so. By the way , by now I assume the truck has been filled and hauled away to make room for the cargo plane. I respect all of your opinions on this co. and you make many good points but your constantly referring to us as greater fools is a little annoying in light of the fact that so far the greater fools have been you. Now that doesn't mean that won't change but you could be a little more humble and respectful towards the bull comments occasionally made on this thread by folks like Sam instead of assuming that every pro aol post is made by an aol employee. I do not work for aol but I am a very satisfied user and I know many people who are very satisfied users. The ease of use and the packaged content work very well for me and I spend 4 to 5 hours on line daily. I rarely have trouble logging on and don't find my e-mail to be particularly slow. I'm probably not as sophisticated a computer user as some of you on this thread or SI in general but I'm sure I'm more sophisticated than the millions of people in this world who have not ventured into the on=line world as yet but are the future growth for any on-line service. When these people come aboard, my guess would be that a significant percentage of them will at least start with the number 1 brand in on-line service. Thats what being the #1 brand does for a co. and Case et. al have been brilliant in concentrating on building a brand name so far. As for your prdictions that excess advertising will turn off many aol members, I submit that there will be tons of advertising no matter which search engine you use to travel the web because that is the way all these co,s are going to make their money and grow their businesses. The reason it is more prevelant on aol is because right now aol is the only one who can show subscription numbers high enough to generate significant advertising interest which brings me to my final point. The bears kill aol for access problems and slow e-mail and then turn around and kill them for lying about subscription numbers. I don't see how you can have it both ways, it was the tremendous growth in usage that created those problems in the first place.I also don't imagine that co,s like 800-flowers would have committed to such a big deal if their trial run wasn't successful. I am also interested in the roll out of their long distance deal with tele-save communications this month. Success there should lead to added credibility and additional deals. Your positions here brings to mind an old Yogi Berra line who when asked if he had been to a certain restaurant recently replied , "nobody goes there anymore, you can't get in". MW

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