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Strategies & Market Trends : New US Economy Policy

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From: Arthur Tang8/16/2008 8:18:58 AM
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Typical housing problems can use Houston Tx. as a case study. Houston over built track houses based on the false rumour of IBM coming to town. Houston had oil industry and Texas Instruments. Houston later has job growth of Compaq(now HP).

Track houses were built at $47500 each in the 1970s. It took 25 years to get rid of the surplus. FHA and VA insured those houses, and fortunately housing value rises with the national average. FHA and VA took over many foreclosures and never suffered huge losses, balanced by national income. FHA even had to return the insurance fee when you pay up the mortgage.

Now, the housing surplus is in Florida, Arizona and Nevada. All retirement community. They(moved from large cities, such as NYC) do die off due to old age or poisoned by medicine subsidized by government health care programs(medicare). If population decreased, these states will have to use tax incentive to attract more industries to their state to build up their economy. to use up their surplus houses. It will take less than a year, if chain stores(job growth) are attracted to retirement communities. Tourism takes 3 years to put in place(convention center and golf course). And manufacturing takes much longer.

But, our current plan is to remodel to bring houses up to the national average value. To attract people to move to old towns by social activities. It may take a shorter time to sell houses in a town that can attract residents to move in, based on West Palm Beach, Fl.(Band playing on main street every Tuesday) success(empty houses bought in a few months by people passing by main street tuesdays), a few years back.

Feds can study Houston and West palm Beach(case history) to know what and how to do it with banks in those two towns.
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