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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Paul Kern8/20/2008 7:03:51 AM
Read Replies (2) of 306849
 
WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Following is data from the Mortgage Bankers
Association of America's weekly mortgage application survey,
released Wednesday.


Seasonally Unadjusted Seasonally Adjusted
Week : Market Purchase Refi Market Purchase Refi
Ending : Index Index Index Index Index Index
08/15/08 436.5 333.8 1034.5 419.3 314.0 1034.5
08/08/08 448.3 340.7 1074.6 425.9 315.2 1074.6
08/01/08 458.2 344.2 1121.8 432.6 315.2 1121.8
07/25/08 447.3 339.6 1074.4 420.8 309.5 1074.4
07/18/08 518.1 367.9 1392.7 489.6 335.6 1392.7
07/11/08 551.5 392.9 1474.9 522.2 359.7 1474.9
07/04/08 434.2 319.3 1103.4 513.4 365.8 1379.3
06/27/08 505.5 374.3 1269.2 477.7 342.8 1269.2
06/20/08 490.0 366.0 1212.2 461.3 333.4 1212.2
06/13/08 1378.6 511.2 1152.9 1378.6 481.2 1085.2
06/06/08 597.6 421.6 1622.1 557.1 376.2 1622.1
05/30/08 486.0 338.2 1346.5 502.3 333.6 1496.1
05/23/08 641.3 405.6 2013.5 593.3 352.7 2013.5
05/16/08 672.5 408.2 2210.5 621.6 352.5 2210.5




Seasonally Adjusted data for week ending 8/15/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 419.3 425.9 -1.5 489.6 641.1
Purchase 314.0 315.2 -0.4 335.6 441.5
Refi 1034.5 1074.6 -3.7 1392.7 1806.3
Fixed-Rate 404.2 413.8 -2.3 469.8 547.3
ARM 739.2 685.3 7.9 911.1 2610.7

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 456.1 465.3 -2.0 563.8 932.0
Purchase 368.2 370.7 -0.7 405.2 680.0
Refi 815.2 853.1 -4.4 1213.9 1960.1
Fixed-Rate 439.1 451.7 -2.8 539.3 790.5
ARM 804.8 744.9 8.0 1066.7 3835.6

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 357.8 360.3 -0.7 365.9 156.0
Purchase 236.0 235.5 0.2 235.7 100.7
Refi 2218.5 2270.6 -2.3 2363.1 1000.0
Fixed-Rate 345.7 350.3 -1.3 353.6 142.2
ARM 626.4 582.7 7.5 640.0 458.6




Unadjusted data for week ending 8/15/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 436.5 448.3 -2.6 518.1 663.8
Purchase 333.8 340.7 -2.0 367.9 467.5
Refi 1034.5 1074.6 -3.7 1392.7 1806.3
Fixed-Rate 420.8 435.5 -3.4 497.1 566.7
ARM 769.6 721.2 6.7 964.1 2703.2

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 475.1 490 -3.0 596.2 964.9
Purchase 391.4 400.7 -2.3 444.2 720.1
Refi 815.2 853.1 -4.4 1213.9 1960.1
Fixed-Rate 457.4 475.7 -3.8 570.3 818.4
ARM 838.3 784.4 6.9 1128.0 3971.0

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 372.0 378.7 -1.8 387.9 161.7
Purchase 250.9 254.5 -1.4 258.4 106.7
Refi 2218.5 2270.6 -2.3 2363.1 1000.0
Fixed-Rate 359.4 368.2 -2.4 374.9 147.3
ARM 651.3 612.5 6.3 678.5 475.4




Percent Change In Percent Change
No. Of Applications In Dollar Value Avg
Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Loan
($000)

Total -2.6 -15.8 -34.2 -1.5 -16.8 -39.7 219.3
Purchase -2.0 -9.3 -28.6 -2.2 -10.1 -31.6 227.4
Refi -3.7 -25.7 -42.7 0.0 -27.9 -51.6 204.0
Fixed-Rate -3.4 -15.4 -25.7 -3.2 -16.0 -23.2 205.6
ARM 6.7 -20.2 -71.5 10.9 -21.4 -74.3 375.6


Conventional -3.0 -20.3 -50.8 -1.7 -20.4 -52.7 238.4
Purchase -2.3 -11.9 -45.6 -2.4 -12.0 -45.6 246.7
Refi -4.4 -32.8 -58.4 -0.3 -34.0 -63.2 222.2
Fixed-Rate -3.8 -19.8 -44.1 -3.8 -20.2 -41.0 217.5
ARM 6.9 -25.7 -78.9 10.6 -21.1 -76.6 472.4


Government -1.8 -4.1 130.1 -0.8 -4.4 178.7 178.5
Purchase -1.4 -2.9 135.2 -1.6 -4.0 186.6 184.4
Refi -2.3 -6.1 121.8 0.8 -5.2 164.9 168.3
Fixed-Rate -2.4 -4.1 143.9 -1.7 -2.7 235.2 180.4
ARM 6.4 -4.0 37.0 13.4 -23.7 -16.7 155.7



Change in Contract Rate (bps)
Effective Total Contract 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year
Rate Points Rate Ago Ago Ago
30-Year Fixed 6.69 1.10 6.47 -11 -12 -2
15-Year Fixed 6.28 1.18 5.99 -18 -11 -21
ARM, 1-Yr Tsy 7.17 0.42 7.07 -8 -9 123
FHA 203 (b) 6.72 1.70 6.43 -13 -18 -9


All rates except FHA 203(b) are for 80% loan-to-value mortgage.
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