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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: Andrew N. Cothran who wrote (262286)8/20/2008 9:37:39 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (2) of 794002
 
Consider first the domestic and political. Bill and Hillary Clinton have no leverage over Obama. Hillary can’t win the nomination. She doesn’t control any committees. If she or her supporters tried to disrupt the convention or demonstrate outside, she would pay a huge price among the party faithful.

If Obama lost — after Hillary made a fuss at the convention — they would blame her for all eternity (just like Democrats blame Ted Kennedy for Carter’s defeat). But, without having any leverage or a decent hand to play, the Clintons bluffed Obama into amazing concessions.

Hillary will get to play a film extolling her virtues produced by Harry Bloodworth Thomason. Bill will speak on Wednesday night. Hillary’s name will be placed into nomination. She will get to have nominating and seconding speeches on her behalf. And, on Thursday night, the last night of the convention, the roll call will show how narrowly Obama prevailed.

So Obama gave away Tuesday night, Wednesday night and part of Thursday night to the Clintons. It will really be their convention. A stronger candidate would’ve called their bluff and confined the Clintons to one night on which both Hillary and Bill spoke (he would have outshone her). He would have blocked a roll call by allowing a voice vote to nominate by acclimation. He would have stood up to the Clintons and recaptured his own convention.


This assessment of the situation seems on the money to me. Obama has given away 2 1/2 nights of what is supposedly HIS convention to Billary. Including a "Man from Hope" type film - incredible that the convention will show a film like that about someone who is NOT on the ticket! Unless Obama makes a surprise move and picks Hillary for Veep (my gut says Michelle has vetoed the idea), I think Dick Morris is calling the score correctly.
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