LONDON (Reuters) -
Gold prices are likely to scale new peaks as market fundamentals tighten because producers need at least a 20 percent rise in bullion prices just to make new investment viable, a leading fund manager said on Wednesday.
"Gold mining is a very complicated and expensive business and you really need to see the gold price a lot higher before you see any increase in gold production," Ian Henderson, who manages around $5 billion at JP Morgan's Global Natural Resources fund, told Reuters.
"(Gold) should have a sustained price level of over $1,200 an ounce before we see any significant new mine build," he said.
His concerns over miners' margins echoed those of Gold Fields chief executive Nick Holland, who told Mining Weekly the company would need to see a gold price of $2,000 an ounce to replace its infrastructure.
"We love gold. We have a substantial part of our portfolio in gold mining companies," added Henderson. "I think the gold price will surpass its previous peak."
BY MY CALCULATION 11,000 SHARES OF PLG.TO CONTROLS 1,000 OUNCES OF GOLD, NOT ASSUMING VALUE OF GHANA, SO FOR UNDER $30,000 ONE CAN NOW CONTROL $830,000 OF GOLD. THE POTENTIAL FOR LEVERAGE ON PRICE OF GOLD GOING UP IS EXCELLENT HERE. PLG.TO CONTINUES TO BE FAR AND AWAY MY LARGEST POSITION. |