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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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From: tradingfaster1238/28/2008 10:54:24 AM
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We haven't seen an NG oversupply of this degree since 2003. I mean, hopefully this number was an anomoly, but there's just been way too many of these huge numbers this year. I switched to the oily side yesterday after taking a loss on the gassers, and thank God I did. The E&P's still have excellent fundamentals, but the NG environment is just too bearish. The average E&P is outspending cash flow to grow production. That has to stop and the market will force it to stop. However, since many E&P's are hedged, prices may need to go a good deal below marginal cost for it to happen. Maybe the hurricane will destroy enough production to stabalize prices, but that would be very short-term thing.

I don't think the average E&P breaks the lows set a couple weeks ago unless things get really out of hand. Coal is another unknown variable.
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