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jackson...
thank you, i sensed a cleaning was a downdraft, but i like to ask when i am guessing ( good guess or not). i took a position based on the potential approval of paxene: baker norton pharmaceutical's version of bristol myers-squibbis paclitaxel. the trade name for the bm-s generic is taxol; ivax/baker norton has presented a version under the name paxene. after a couple of days' run-up, i passed on an 8 bagger ( i know, i know ) and opted to stick it out. god knows why...but i will say that your views on the drug viability are not as sound as your knowledge of the company, and its trading. ( although i would hardly call your list of insider trading "recent"; do you have an update? )
i agree there have been strides made, selling of assets, etc which seem to bode well: but what exactly is next? i have been trying to determine the current status of the fda application. on september 19 an advisory commitee recommended unanimously that this type of treatment be approved as an alternative to the other version, based on clinical trial evidence of its efficacy, safety, etc vs taxol. there remains only the final step before production may be started. that is, word on fda approval is either soon upon us, or not. it appears to the people at napro ( provider of the raw material as ivax's partner) that the failure to hear is more positive as time passes. in other words, why would the fda withhold for any length of time, an outright rejection. well, it remains to be seen. by the way, paxene is also appropriate for treating breast cancer, and its cost is far less prohibitive than taxol.
as to the financial reward...the whole reason on august 4, bm-s applied to the fda for use of taxol in treating kaposi's sarcoma stems from greed; THEY MAKE A BUNDLE ON TAXOL. the market is larger than you realize, and i will post a link later to show you the numbers involved.
anyway, should this happen, number 1 above, is not entirely an impossible scenario. number 2...is a good theory, however. and, i have seen large block trading, buying that is, notwithsatnding the selling, even on friday. i sense someone knows something...
randy 1 NLM CIT. ID: FDA/00912 TITLE: Paclitaxel in Advanced Refractory Kaposi's Sarcoma (AIDS-KS): A Phase II Trial of Paclitaxel from Baker Norton Pharmaceuticals. PROTOCOL ID NUMBERS: FDA 273A TRIAL CATAGORY: AIDS-Related Malignancies GENERAL DESCRIPTION: PURPOSE: To determine response rate, median time to tumor progression, qualitative and quantitative toxicity and reversibility of toxicity in patients with advanced refractory AIDS-associated Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) administered a 3-hour infusion of 100 mg/m2 of paclitaxel every 14 days. To evaluate the clinical benefit of paclitaxel in this patient population by evaluating self-reported responses to the Symptom Distress Scale and by documenting and evaluating any changes in their lymphedema, pain and disfiguring facial lesions. Methodology: Patients are treated with paclitaxel 100mg/m2 intravenously every 2 weeks up to 10 courses. Patients who achieve a complete response, receive 2 additional courses; those who achieve partial response or stabilization, continue therapy until progression. GENERAL DESCRIPTION: METHODOLOGY: Patients are treated with paclitaxel 100mg/m2 intravenously every 2 weeks up to 10 courses. Patients who achieve a complete response, receive 2 additional courses; those who achieve partial response or stabilization, continue therapy until progression. PROTOCOL PHASE: Phase II OPEN OR CLOSED INDICATOR: Open: Actively accruing patients (970714) PROTOCOL DETAILS: STUDY INTENT: Drug efficacy, Drug safety, Clinical Evaluation, Adverse effects, Drug toxicity. NUMBER OF PARTICIPATING AGENCIES: 1 unit. DISEASE STUDIED: Kaposi's sarcoma. OTHER PROTOCOL NUMBERS: IX-110-081. IND# 45,679 STUDY DESIGN: Multicenter; Open Label PATIENT INCLUSION CRITERIA: GENERAL INCLUSION CRITERIA: Patients must have: 1. Microscopically confirmed diagnosis of KS associated with HIV for which systematic therapy is medically indicated by the presence of at least one of the following: A. >= 25 mucocutaneous (mouth or skin) lesions. B. Symptomatic visceral involvement. C. Symptomatic lymphedema (pain). 2. Minimum of 5 clearly measurably cutaneous lesions by physical exam or measurable disease by X-ray, CT or MRI. 3. Failed at least one systematic chemotherapy regimen. [Refer to Laboratory values for additional requirements.] DISEASE STATUS: Patients must have the following conditions and symptoms: 1. Microscopically confirmed diagnosis of KS associated with HIV for which systematic therapy is medically indicated by the presence of at least one of the following: A. >= 25 mucocutaneous (mouth or skin) lesions. B. Symptomatic visceral involvement. C. Symptomatic lymphedema (pain). 2. Minimum of 5 clearly measurably cutaneous lesions by physical exam or measurable disease by X-ray, CT or MRI. HEMOGLOBIN: >= 6 g/dl. (Patients may be transfused) GRANULOCYTES: >= 1000 cells/mm3. PLATELET COUNT: >= 75000 platelets/mm3. CD4 (T4 CELL) COUNT: Unspecified cells/mm3. BILIRUBIN: <= 2.5 mg/dl. SGOT(AST): <= 5 X ULN. (ULN = Upper Limit of Normal) CREATININE: <= 1.5 X ULN. KARNOFSKY: >= 60. REPRODUCTIVE CRITERIA: Abstinence or effective method of birth control / contraception including oral contraceptives during the study. Not breast-feeding. Not pregnant. PRIOR MEDICATION: Required: 1. At least one systemic chemotherapy regimen that failed to maintain signficant benefit. NOTE: Intralesional chemotherapy regimens are not considered as prior chemotherapy. 2. At least 2 weeks since last dose of prior systemic chemotherapy. PATIENT AGE: 18 Years - 99 Years. PAITENT GENDER: MALE FEMALE PATIENT EXCLUSION CRITERIA: GENERAL EXCLUSION CRITERIA: Patients with the following prior conditions are excluded: 1. History of angina or myocardial infarction within the past 6 months. 2. Second degree or third degree atrioventricular block without a pacemaker. 3. Congestive heart failure (poorly controlled). 4. History of prior malignancy except: Completely excised in situ, carcinoma of the cervix or nonmelanomatous skin cancer. Curatively treated other malignancy with no evidence of disease for at least 5 years. [Refer to Laboratory values for additional requirements.] AGE: 01 Days - 17 Years. REPRODUCTIVE CRITERIA: No abstinence or no agreement to use effective method of birth control / contraception during the study. Breast-feeding. Pregnant. PRIOR MEDICATION: Excluded: Prior taxane therapy. COMPLICATIONS: Patients with the following conditions and symptoms are excluded: 1. Less than 2 weeks since major surgery. 2. Serious uncontrolled infection. NOTE: Must be ruled out by thorough work up in patients with unexplained fevers, night sweats, or involuntary weight loss of more than 10% normal weight. 3. Leukopenia. 4. Thrombocytopenia. SUBSTANCE IDENTIFICATION: Drug 1 DRG-0190 Paclitaxel OTHER TREATMENT INFORMATION: DOSAGE SCHEDULE: Drug 1: 100 mg/m2 q 14 days DELIVERY MODE: Drug 1: Intravenously, 100 mg/m2. TREATMENT DURATION: Every 2 weeks up to 10 courses or if complete response is achieved, patients are treated with 2 additional courses. If a partial response or stabilization is achieved, therapy may continue until progression. END POINT: Response rate, time to tumor progression, and toxicity. SUPPORTING AGENCY: Baker Norton Pharmaceuticals. LATE REVISION DATE: 970714 |
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