Jim, Very hard to call from so far out, guesses I can do, but not give a good call so far out, and the hurricane models I have little faith in until they all or almost all agree. I do not have a favorite model.
I pay more attention to the LR forecasters I follow and none of them are calling on Ike yet.
IMOVHO, the more time it takes to come farther west, the more time for the steering air currents to change and the better the odds for it to slip through into the GOM. But that is all stating the obvious and at this point that is the best I can do.
Does your data guy still think it hits GOM??
Nice re-entry on GG, btw, that was a definite tree shake on that one, I was shaken, but not stirred, ggg.
Best, Roebear |