Polls Show Close Presidential Race In The Swing States
tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com
By Eric Kleefeld - September 8, 2008, 10:17PM
A new set of Rasmussen polls, all conducted yesterday in the middle of John McCain's post-convention bounce, suggests that this race remains close on the state-by-state level.
• In Colorado, Obama leads by a 49%-46% margin, actually an improvement for him since McCain's 49%-48% edge three weeks ago. Both results are within the margin of error.
• In Florida, the race is tied 48%-48%, compared to a 48%-46% McCain edge from about three weeks ago.
• In Ohio, McCain leads 51%-44%, compared to a 48%-43% lead for McCain from almost three weeks ago. Rasmussen has been the most favorable pollster for McCain in Ohio.
• In Pennsylvania, Obama has a slim 47%-45% edge, not significantly different from his 48%-45% lead two and a half weeks ago.
• In Virginia, McCain has a 49%-47% lead, not significantly changed from a 48%-47% McCain lead from over three weeks ago.
All five polls were conducted yesterday, and have a ±4.5 margin of error except for the Ohio survey, which has a ±4% margin error.
Separately, a new SurveyUSA poll of Virginia conducted this past Friday gives McCain an identical 49%-47% lead, with a ±3.7% margin of error. This is also not significantly changed from a 48%-47% McCain edge from over three weeks ago. |
