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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Les H9/11/2008 7:21:09 PM
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Mexicans fleeing drug war boost El Paso RE

By Ignacio Alvarado

EL PASO, Texas (Reuters) - Mexicans fleeing a gruesome drug war are buying homes across the border in El Paso, helping keep the Texan city's property market afloat despite the worst U.S. housing crisis in decades.

With clashes between rival drug gangs leaving dead bodies on the streets of the Mexican border city of Ciudad Juarez almost daily, hundreds of middle class Mexicans are selling up and moving to El Paso, just over the Rio Grande.

The cities are a short walk apart, but there have been 12 homicides in El Paso this year compared to some 900 in Ciudad Juarez, where law and order has collapsed as Mexico's most wanted man Joaquin "Shorty" Guzman battles local drug baron Vicente Carrillo Fuentes for U.S. smuggling routes.

The increase in the number of Mexican buyers has helped support El Paso's housing market. While foreclosures hit a record high across the United States between April and June, El Paso estate agents report brisk sales of houses and apartments in the $80,000 to $300,000 range and broadly steady prices.

"Our market is not a plummeting market compared to the rest of the country," said Dan Olivas, president of the Greater El Paso Association of Realtors.

"A lot of that is buoyed by a substantial number of people from Juarez coming over to buy properties for security reasons, for fear of kidnappings, extortion, cartel violence," he said.

Already notorious for a spate of brutal murders of young women in the 1990s, Ciudad Juarez has become Mexico's most violent city in a drug war that has killed some 2,700 people nationwide so far this year. Some 3,000 troops were sent to the city of 1.5 million but they have failed to stop the chaos.

El Paso real estate brokers say demand from over the border began rising early this year as the drug violence flared, and has ballooned since then as murders, abductions, extortions and car theft have spiraled. Many Mexicans are even paying cash.

OVERWHELMING FEAR

"I had to get out. The violence, the fear is overwhelming," said Armando Garcia, 39, a computer programmer from Ciudad Juarez who has just obtained a three-year U.S. work visa and moved to El Paso to search for a one-bedroom apartment.

"I am renting until I find a place, I couldn't stay another day," said Garcia, who says several of his friends have faced extortion threats or been kidnapped.

Most of the Mexican buyers are families with young children. Many teachers and small business owners are opting to live in El Paso and put their kids in schools there while they cross back into Ciudad Juarez each day to go to work.

The Mexican demand is one factor helping El Paso resist the slump in the wider U.S. housing market. Homes across Texas are also maintaining their value better than most U.S. regions, in part because they did not climb as fast during the boom years.

reuters.com
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