My guess is no matter what either side does, we have a very close result on election day, decided by the electoral college math.
Well, I'm going to go out on a limb here and predict that in the end it won't be particularly close. If Obama makes an egregious error in the debates or if there is indeed an "October surprise" as some have alleged, he could still lose. But--watching Palin in the just the few minutes with Gibson, she simply hasn't thought much about FP or, I suspect, about domestic policy on a national level either. Fallows' analysis was exactly right. And McCain's lies are being exposed on all sorts of levels, from The View to Planned Parenthood to many media types. He won't get away with it this time, IMHO. He has alienated his erstwhile base, media people, and they won't have any compunctions about coming after him as they might have if he had remained on an honorable course.
All that said, I saw Bob Schieffer on Charlie Rose last night. He said he has been friends with McCain for over 20 years, and knows him well. It gave me some pause to listen to him, since he will be the moderator of the third and last debate. Still, the way the debates will be structured this year is different from past years. The moderator will set general topics, but the candidates will have longer times to speak, and apparently will be permitted to ask the other candidate questions. The ones who prepare the best will be the winners of these debates. |
