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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical Analysis With Charts
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To: TWICK who wrote (6812)9/16/2008 5:20:08 PM
From: MACD X  Read Replies (2) of 6865
 
My thoughts on time cycles,

I have studied many time cycles over the years, from the cycles of the moon, to long and short term time cycles, and other related cycle type thinking.

The conclusion that I have came to is that no matter what cycles you are looking at there appears to be a dominate and minor type time cycles.

What I mean by this is that a cycle that is tracking market tops will be considered a dominate top finding cycle. If this thought turns out to be correct it would be likely that it may find 7 tops but 3 may likely turn out to be bottoms instead of tops.

This can be seen on the chart that projected a 2010 bottom on one of my previous posts. But what must be realize is that it may actually be a TOP.

If a dominate top finding cycle is plotted and it has located serveral tops in a roll, then is must be considered that the next time cycle may infact be a bottom.

It has also been my observation that cycles hold fairly true within an up trend,but when the uptrend reverses it appears that the cycle is shifted someone and may need adjusted for the now going down cycle.

This sounds complicated but actually isnt, others on this site that are deep into T.A. may have other or simular observations that they have recognized thru the years.

As for the June 2010 bottom projection question of when in June 2010, the answer is anywhere plus or minus 1 year or so. Time cycles are just that and should be looked at as a guide line not an exact time date, Sorry

Discussion on this subject is welcome
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