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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: LTK007 who wrote (11152)9/16/2008 5:25:12 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) of 71463
 
Derivatives are a zero sum game. That means someone owes $1
billion to someone else and defaults on OTC contracts, while the
bond spreads widen. Nevertheless, it can get
VERY UGLY, because when someone who owes somebody else
$1 billion can't pay it, that will cascade through the system
and hike spreads (and rates) for everyone. It has been happening
all year, although, so far, backstopped by the Fed to a degree.
TED spread has been uglier than after 1987 crash.

When someone owes $10 billion and can't pay, then, multiplied by
the leverage factor of 40, $400 billion evaporate from the broad
money supply. Stock market has yet to catch up with the absolute
murder we've been seeing in the credit market.
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