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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 156.92+1.8%3:29 PM EST

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To: slacker711 who wrote (80674)9/30/2008 9:26:08 AM
From: slacker711  Read Replies (3) of 197300
 
Qualcomm (QCOM) Offers Some Shelter in Worsening Economy
-Deutsche Bank

streetinsider.com

More News related to Analyst Comments
September 30, 2008 9:00 AM EDT

Deutsche Bank is out with a research note this morning saying Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) "offers some resilience in difficult economic times." The firm maintains its Buy rating.

The firm said it has stress tested its model on Qualcomm to see if it could survive a "worst case scenario". Despite a concerning macroeconomic picture, Deutsche believes Qualcomm's underlying growth remains significant.

In its worst-case model, Deutsche lowered Qualcomm's estimated "CY09 CDMA growth rate to 0% and took WCDMA growth to 30%" (Deutsche is currently modeling up 4% and 41%, respectively), which resulted in a 6% decline in earnings and sales from the firm's current estimates. Further, "if
CDMA units decline by 5% and WCDMA grows by only 20%, earnings would decline by 11%."


Deutsche believes its estimates for Qualcomm could be conservative, as each 50 basis point raise in royalty rates adds 2.5% to EPS.

Although the firm believes macro conditions could worsen, Deutsche calls Qualcomm "undervalued at current levels." The firm points out that the stock is currently trading at a discount (15x CY09 EPS) to even its worse case scenario multiple of 17x.

QUALCOMM Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets digital wireless telecommunications products and services based on its CDMA technology and other technologies.
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