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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (81808)	10/11/2008 10:36:48 AM
From: Real Man	Read Replies (1) of 94695

Nobody can predict a crash. Also, the dynamics I mentioned is certainly much oversimplified and is thus plain wrong. Normally a reversal would happen during expiration week. However, when the markets approach it "way out of whack", then a different self-reinforcing dynamics quite often emerges. It would be nice to know what the conditions are for the emergence of such self-reinforcing crashing dynamics as opposed to the tendency to rally, but I don't. I just looked at max pain, and max pain for spy is SPX=1150.

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