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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: DewDiligence_on_SI who wrote (274141)10/13/2008 2:44:19 AM
From: Nadine Carroll1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 793964
 
Unless you think all the polls are untrustworthy, McCain is going to need a bona fide October Surprise to pull this one out.

Considering the extreme volatility of the race so far, and the ability of "reputable" polls, all claiming 4% margin of error, to differ by 10% or more, I think everybody sensible must regard all the polls as untrustworthy.

Seriously, I think at least 10% of the vote is sloshing around in the middle, only lightly attached to any candidate, and I don't see any sign that they have settled down yet. That 10% has switched alliances twice in the last six weeks.
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