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Strategies & Market Trends : Peabody Coal vanguard retirement forum

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From: MACD X	10/13/2008 3:39:24 AM
	of 75

10 13 08 CHANGE IN FUNDS RECOMMENDATION stockcharts.com The most of the funds listed on the link above have been down about 25% in the last 2 weeks and most nearing 50% from the top. We have stepped out of the way of most of the disaster, The charts are still bearish and are down trending and none are giving signals to enter at this time. But when the market turns up it will be fast and quick and getting on board may be difficult and many percentage points away from where the market is now. It is possible and likely that the market will go down more but from what I know about the market and the history of crashes of the past it never goes straight down, but in steps, This first step down has been severe and the bottom should be close. So hear is my recommendation and what I have done with my personal investments. The market has been down 40% or so, this is typical of a bear market, I am 40% ahead of everyone else and when the bottom arrives I will have a lot more to invest with than others that I work with. I am entering the fund that associates with my age. I am 57 so I have about 67% exposer to stocks and 33% exposer to bonds. Younger investors will have more exposer to stocks. This will protect those closer to retirement than those that are younger. Enter the market NOW and at the suggested funds that Vanguard wants you to be in for your age. You are 40% ahead of everyone else and we wait for the reversal understanding that we may loose some more but we are willing to take a chance on an oversold market. The time to enter is when blood is running in the streets and fear is in the market. This is now, talk to your co-worker see what they are talking about, the bottom always arrives when others are wanting to get out. I have adjusted and marked on most of the charts on the link above, up and down trends move in channels and I have adjusted the channels on the chart to where I think they should be, and in most cases we are now at the bottom of the trend channel. The yellow lines are support and resistance lines, and in most cases we are setting on support of most charts. This is typically where a reversal should be expected. any question email me at vernie62884@yahoo.com good luck Some interesting reading is on the links below concerning past crashes and percentages of losses etc. caldaroew.spaces.live.com ttheory.typepad.com

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