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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: TimF who wrote (427460)10/17/2008 3:12:15 PM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) of 1570734
 
Some was actual insurance, and the insurance was real, but the insurance company couldn't deal with everything going south at once, just like a different type of insurance company might go broke if you had a series of really massive natural disasters all over the US.

Like to see more info on that... do you have a link?

The hedging strategies where not typically "sold as insurance", or "just like insurance", with one company or group of companies trying to market them to other companies and traders. They largely where the internal strategies of the various companies involved (including insurance companies that want to hedge the risks they insured).

Not according to what I've read.

The problem is, that like "portfolio insurance" (a hedging strategy that failed rather spectacularly in 1987) before it, the hedge works fairly well in the case of isolated failures, but doesn't work if everyone is trying to execute it at once. It would work if the risks existed in isolation (one security or one company, or mortgages in one or a few areas, do very poorly), but not when the risks are highly correlated (with many local real estate markets, and other forms of debt or investment, booming, and then rapidly declining together)

You are REALLY understating this. We are talking about $60 Trillion!!! in CDS, like world wide GDP type numbers. There ain't enough money in the world to pay these things off... and they need to unwind.

You like to talk about the "perversion" of government subsidies. Just because this was your pure 'free market' at work it doesn't mean it wasn't a "perversion".
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