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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (88830)10/21/2008 10:35:50 AM
From: Mike Johnston  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
Credit markets have fallen so far that they are providing a "once in a lifetime opportunity," and investors are still selling.
"There has been widespread liquidation of assets that has nothing to do with fundamentals," said Scott D'Orsi..... "Investors in bank debt are being presented with a vast number of extraordinary opportunities; opportunities that I would characterize as once in a lifetime."


If something is widely touted as "once in a lifetime" opportunity, it most likely isn't.

If deflationary depression arrives, the default rate will be much higher than 5%. It will be closer to 20%.
In hyperinflation bonds will be a total loss, no matter what the yield.
With bonds, you lose most of your money either way, no matter which outcome will come to pass.
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