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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 379.91+0.4%4:00 PM EST

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To: Riskmgmt who wrote (41897)10/27/2008 5:54:06 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation  Read Replies (3) of 217679
 
did an important trade Message 25114218

then got caught up on the news flow

ice coffee and adrenalin, sense time to rise to the opportunity, by and by

while very excited, but

went through portfolio to mark to market on real estate, just for the heck of it, to see what would happen should i really wish to unload today on everything as many in hk must soon enough do or die

my result is theoretically tolerable

that cash mountain sure is nice

and that cash mountain includes gold

but if one actually must live through 8 years of the dark interregnum, and especially if accompanied by japan-style zirp policy, the living would be uncomfortable, as monetary inflation dilutes cash, tepid stock and real estate markets provide no protection against dilution, and one has to spend down nominal cash

conclusion, babyboomers without savings (as opposed to tanking investments) competing against new job mkt entrants, and rewarded by ever longer hours of toil, and imploded 401k, and at negative cash flow on 'investment properties' and leveraged, are victims #1 through millions

prc banks are fine.
hkg banks may not be so fine.
all govts will guarantee all deposits when push comes to shove, but will pilfer from same accounts even as they 'guarantee' them

i am staring at my gold ledger, and note that against everything else except for the dollar, they did absolutely fine, and between the dollar and gold, before, now, and going forward, i take gold, by and by

my thoughts on yen, its rise will be short lived

the issue to me is not how to scale into yen, but how best to ease over to still more gold

also born before 2008 :0)
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