NEW POLLS: OBAMA OPENS HUGE LEADS IN SWING STATES!!!!
Other than Pennsylvania, these are all states that Bush won in 2004. So McCain can not lose even 1 of those 7 states. Yet he is big time behind in the polls in EVERY ONE OF THEM!!!!
New Hampshire: OBAMA UP by 18!!!
Nevada: OBAMA UP by 12!!!
Pennsylvania: OBAMA UP by 12!!!
Colorado: OBAMA UP by 9!!!
Ohio: OBAMA UP by 8!!!
Virginia: OBAMA UP by 7!!!
Florida: OBAMA UP by 2!!!
North Carolina: OBAMA UP by 2!!!
ap.google.com
AP polls: Obama ahead in 6 swing states, even in 2
By The Associated Press – 56 minutes ago
COLORADO
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Colorado among likely voters, 9 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 50 percent, John McCain 41 percent
OF INTEREST: Eight in 10 say they're worried about the state's economic conditions. Of that group, nearly six in 10 back Obama. Two-thirds of those not too concerned about the economy back McCain. Voters are split about evenly over which candidate they trust more on national security, but prefer Obama to handle the economy, the financial crisis and health care. Obama leads among people who say they've already voted, 57 percent to 34 percent. Men are evenly split between the two candidates while women prefer Obama by 19 percentage points. Whites lean only slightly toward McCain. Among them, white born-again and evangelical Christians prefer him by 42 percentage points, and whites without college degrees favor him by 14 points. Independents back Obama 49 percent to 37 percent. Slightly more oppose a fixed timetable for withdrawing troops from Iraq than favor such a schedule, as Obama does. Democrat Mark Udall is solidly ahead of Republican Bob Schaffer in their race for the state's open Senate seat.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 626 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
FLORIDA
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Florida among likely voters, 27 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 45 percent, John McCain 43 percent
OF INTEREST: People in the state prefer Obama by only 4 percentage points for handling the financial crisis, but by bigger margins pick him for dealing with the economy, health care and understanding how the financial crisis affects them. McCain is their choice on national security by 7 points. Eight in 10 worry about the state's economy and seven in 10 are concerned about their personal financial situations — and both groups lean toward Obama by more than 10 percentage points. Fewer than three in 10 think McCain will win the election. Men prefer McCain by 15 points, women back Obama by about the same amount. People under age 35 back Obama by more than two-to-one, while those age 35 and up lean slightly toward McCain. White men prefer McCain by about two-to-one, while white women are split. Asked about characteristics of minorities, 13 percent of white Democrats in the state said blacks are "violent," making it one of three states in the poll where that answer exceeded 10 percent. Twelve percent of the state's white Democrats are voting for McCain. Independents back Obama by 10 percentage points. Obama is ahead by 7 points with those who say they've already voted.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 600 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
NEVADA
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Nevada among likely voters, 5 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 40 percent
OF INTEREST: Obama leads by 23 points among people who say they've already voted. The state's whites are divided about evenly between the two candidates, including those who haven't completed college — a group Obama often struggles with. White men tilt toward McCain, women toward Obama. Voters under age 35 prefer Obama by nearly three to one, while those over age 35 are split. Unmarried people favor Obama by more than a two-to-one edge, married people are split. Obama is ahead by 10 percentage points with independents. Nearly nine in 10 worry about their state's economy. Of the worriers, about six in 10 support Obama. Obama is widely preferred for dealing with the economy, the financial crisis and health. He also has a slender edge for handling national security, an area where McCain often prevails. Voters are divided over whether they support a timetable for withdrawing troops from Iraq. Fifty-one percent say Obama has run a positive campaign, double the number who say so about McCain. Two-thirds think Obama will win the election.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 628 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.9 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
NEW HAMPSHIRE
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in New Hampshire among likely voters, 4 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 55 percent, John McCain 37 percent
OF INTEREST: Only 14 percent in the state approve of the job President Bush is doing, just 10 percent give Congress positive marks, and a mere 8 percent say the country is moving in the right direction. Almost nine in 10 worry about economic conditions in the state, and Obama is ahead with this group by almost two-to-one over McCain. Obama has a 20-percentage-point edge for understanding how people are affected by the financial crisis, and similarly strong margins for handling the economy and health care. People are split over which candidate would better guide national security. They are divided over whether Obama's campaign has been positive, but only 21 percent say McCain's has. Almost three quarters predict Obama will win on Election Day. Obama leads among both genders, and whites back him by 18 percentage points. Obama leads among independents by 19 points. Republican Sen. John Sununu is trailing Democratic challenger Jeanne Shaheen by 6 percentage points. Democratic Gov. John Lynch is far ahead of his GOP challenger, Joseph Kenney.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 600 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
NORTH CAROLINA
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in North Carolina among likely voters, 15 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 48 percent, John McCain 46 percent
OF INTEREST: Ninety percent say they worry about the state's economy, and 72 percent are concerned about their family's finances. Both groups are divided about evenly between Obama and McCain. Obama has an edge of just 6 percentage points on which candidate is most trusted to handle the economy, but a 13-point advantage for better understanding how the financial crisis affects people. McCain is favored slightly to best deal with national security. Two-thirds think Obama will be elected. Whites favor McCain by 24 percentage points. Fourteen percent of white Democrats said blacks are "violent," one of only three states where that answer exceeded 10 percent. Twenty percent of white Democrats are backing McCain. Whites who've not finished college back him by 31 points, and white evangelical or born again Christians support him by 50 points. Men are evenly split while women tilt a bit toward Obama. McCain is ahead by 9 points with independents. Obama leads among people who say they've voted already by 26 points. Democrat Kay Hagan is narrowly leading in her attempt to unseat Republican Sen. Elizabeth Dole. Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory are even in their fight to become governor.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 601 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
OHIO
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Ohio among likely voters, 20 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 48 percent, John McCain 41 percent
OF INTEREST: Nine in 10 are worried about the state's economic conditions, and more than six in 10 fret about their family's financial situation. Both of those groups tilt decidedly toward Obama. By more than 10 percentage points, more in the state trust Obama than McCain on the financial crisis, the economy and health care. They give McCain a small edge on national security. Women prefer Obama by 12 percentage points, while men are divided. Whites are about evenly split. Whites without college degrees, who usually prefer McCain, favor him by only 8 points. Independents back Obama by 9 points. More oppose than favor a timetable for a troop withdrawal from Iraq by 8 points. People who have already voted prefer Obama over McCain 56 percent to 28 percent.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 607 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
PENNSYLVANIA
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Pennsylvania among likely voters, 21 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 40 percent
OF INTEREST: Sixteen percent say the country is heading in the right direction. Twenty-one percent approve of the job President Bush is doing, while 15 percent rate Congress' work favorably. The state's voters are closely divided on whether a timetable should govern a troop withdrawal from Iraq. Almost nine in 10 worry about the state's economic conditions and nearly three quarters are concerned about their family's financial status, and the worriers from both groups lean toward Obama. By 15 percentage points or more, more pick Obama than McCain for dealing with the economy, the financial crisis and health care. People are divided over which nominee would better protect national security. Fifty-six percent say Obama's campaign has been positive, and 30 percent say so about McCain's. Men are closely divided over the two candidates, but women prefer Obama nearly two-to-one. Whites were more likely to back Obama by 5 points, while whites who aren't college graduates — a group that often prefers McCain — split evenly. Fifteen percent of white Democrats said blacks are "violent," and 8 percent of white Democrats are voting for McCain. Catholics prefer Obama by 10 points while white born-again or evangelical Christians back McCain by about two-to-one. Independents are closely split.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 607 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com
VIRGINIA
THE POLL: Associated Press-GfK poll, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters, 13 electoral votes
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 49 percent, John McCain 42 percent
OF INTEREST: By 8 percentage points, more in the state oppose than favor a timetable for withdrawing troops from Iraq, which Obama has championed. Even so, one in four timetable opponents back the Democrat. Eighty-two percent worry about the state's economy and 64 percent are troubled by their family's finances, and majorities of both groups support Obama. Obama is favored by 13 percentage points over McCain to improve the economy, by 17 points to empathize with people on the impact of the financial crisis, and by 20 points to work on health care. Two-thirds expect Obama to be elected. Obama has modest leads with both men and women. McCain leads 49 percent to 42 percent with whites and has a slightly larger margin with whites who haven't completed college, a group that generally prefers Republicans. McCain has a three-to-one edge among white born again or evangelical Christians. Independents are divided evenly. Democrat Mark Warner is well ahead of Republican Jim Gilmore in their battle for the state's open Senate seat.
DETAILS: Conducted Oct. 22-26 by landline telephone, included 601 likely voters. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
MORE: AP-GfK Poll: ap-gfkpoll.com |
