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Technology Stocks : BORL... time to short?!

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To: David G. who wrote (52)10/22/1997 12:46:00 AM
From: MENSO  Read Replies (1) of 56
 
Stock Analysis of Borland International

Thank you for requesting an analysis of Borland International. The ticker symbol for Borland International is BORL. BORL is traded on the NASDAQ and options are available on this stock.

PRICE: BORL closed on 21-Oct-1997 at $10.40 per share.

VALUE: BORL has a Value of $3.20 per share. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation of Value. Sooner or later a stock's Price and Value always converge.

RV (Relative Value): BORL has an RV of 0.48. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RV of 0.48 is very poor. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA Corporate Bonds.

RS (Relative Safety): BORL has an RS rating of 0.64. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 0.64 is poor. VectorVest looks at safety from the viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company) rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors are also considered, but to a lesser degree.

GRT (Growth Rate): BORL has a GRT of 7 % per year. This is fair. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per year. Watch GRT trends very carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): BORL has a Hold recommendation. REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky, overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): BORL has a GPE of 0.14. This ratio suggests that BORL is overvalued. Growth to P/E ratio is a popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest believes that RV is a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of 0.48 for BORL is very poor.

VOL(100)s: BORL traded 618600 shares on 21-Oct-1997.

BORL has well below average safety with well below average upside potential. It reflects a stock which is likely to give well below average, inconsistent returns over the long term.

c Copyright 1997 by MarketSoft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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