Obama lead over McCain growing, though still tight, new poll shows
Barack Obama has edged further ahead of John McCain in the more conservative version of the latest Gallup daily tracking poll.
The poll would not yet reflect reaction to Obama's half-hour infomercial on four networks Wednesday night.
But, with as many as a third of votes expected to have been cast before the election, McCain is fast losing the chance to change minds.
If they need changing, of course. Today in real paper, we noted that a full two-thirds of registered voters called by pollsters refuse to take the polls, and no one knows why that is, and whether they would break down similarly to those who agree to polling.
The poll, which has been using two methods of trying to predict likely voters, shows Obama with a five point, or 50 percent to 45 percent lead over McCain among voters who both say they are likely to vote, and who have voted in the past.
Among what the poll calls an expanded likely voter method, registered voters who say they are likely to vote, Obama for the third straight day maintained a 51 percent - 44 percent lead over McCain.
The poll's margin for error is +/- 3 points for the traditional method, and +/- 2 for the expanded method. It's a national poll, so doesn't tell anything about where electoral votes would stand.
Submitted by Matt Schofield on October 30, 2008 - 12:16pm.
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