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Technology Stocks : Spansion Inc.
CY 23.820.0%Apr 16 5:00 PM EST

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To: Sam who wrote (4321)10/31/2008 2:27:12 PM
From: Rink   of 4590
 
The tight cash situation will probably continue to cause taking less risks, which might mean less pronounced share gains longer term (unless EcoRAM turns out to be an immediate hit).

I don't think 45nm will be delayed because of this, but fab 1 expansion for 2009 might be put on hold at least partially (fab 25 taking over 65nm production partly as it is already partially equiped for that).

In about all cases Spansion will need to increase capex for 45nm volume production during H1 '09. So in a normal scenario I think they'd be cash flow negative again during H1'09 (excluding cash from sales of test facilities). Being cash flow positive this Q (even if just above zero) is a rather important key for survival.

BTW Spansion has long become my worst investment ever.

Regards,

Rink
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