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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Brumar89 who wrote (432200)11/2/2008 9:42:04 PM
From: i-node  Read Replies (3) of 1571904
 
>>> I'm posting my predictions that McCain will win big now for two reasons.

It seems that everyone's predication of an Obama win is based on the national polls, which at this point, just don't mean a damned thing. All that matters is the state-by-state.

To win it, McCain would have to win FLA, NC, VA, PA, and OH. The rest of what he needs, he'll easily win.

If you look at these states --

OH (20) McCain is up by 2
NC (13) McCain is up by 3
FL (27) Obama is up by 2 or 4 (3)
VA (15) Obama is up by 4
PA (21) Obama is up by 6

It is still an amazingly close race to have all the media having already called it. Basically, if you believe OH & NC polls, it comes down to FL, VA, & PA.

PA is tough. But this coal thing could really make a difference there, I would think (although, most of Western PA may go for McCain anyway). And one wonders whether the coal remarks could influence VA somewhat as well.

It'll be a shame to lose it by such a narrow margin.
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