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Strategies & Market Trends : Ride the Tiger with CD

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To: Goose94 who wrote (136110)11/12/2008 12:08:34 PM
From: Goose94  Read Replies (1) of 313062
 
Baffinland Iron Mine (BIM-T)
Net Cash of Approx. $120 Million ($0.80/share) -
One of the Best Value Plays for 2008

Baffin is one of the companies we are tracking from our large list
of Cash Rich Plays in our Vulture Fund. The value in the $0.30's
is one of the best we have seen in a long time and a great
speculation for 2009.


www.baffinland.com

Net Cash & Investments in the range of $120 million ($0.80/share)

This is a cash rich iron ore play. It goes against the slowdown we're
seeing in that industry right now, but their burn is controlled and
even if they completely mothballed this property for a year, we have
to consider that we're paying less than 1/2 for their cash in the bank
and we get their giant ore deposit for "Free". Its the same logic we're
following by purchasing discounted cash and getting big (proven)
minerals or metals for nothing.

You can easily make a case for the iron ore sector struggling but that
doesn't change the fact a person is simply buying discounted money
and paying nothing for the iron ore in the first place. Personally I will
tuck it away for 12 to 18 months on hope a large steel company buys
them out to secure long term supply.

In theory someone could buy them out even for cash value (which
is 100% higher than current prices) and inventory a massive deposit
of rich iron ore (which they get for nothing). Even if you put it on
care and maintenance for years, the purchasing company risks
nothing.

Its this type of scenario that makes companies like this a steal for
smart speculators while others are taking tax losses or fretting about
the future.
________________________________

Also check the company's news release issued on Nov 6th - it sheds
light on the tremendous potential here and value of this iron ore on
world markets.

Baffin Property Overview - which the market
currently values as worthless !!


Mary River iron ore deposits (100% owned) located 160km south of
Pond Inlet, Baffin Island (Nunavut). Studies show this deposit to be
the highest grade, largest undeveloped iron ore project in the world
that is independently owned.

Iron Grade 64% - high grade and economic
Proven & Probably Reserves - 365 million tonne
Indicated - 52 million tonne
Inferred - 448 million tonne

Highlights from Oct 1st Presentation

- Almost 75% of production is expected to be premium priced
- Initial output would be 18 million tonnes per year with a 20 year
mine life
- Excellent proximity to port and European markets
- Letters of intent from 5 major steel producers and interest from
Mitsubishi for Asia
- Seaborne iron ore supply is controlled by 3 majors (almost
80% of global supply)
- Steel producers want to secure their own sources
- long term outlook for iron ore prices remains strong
- low strip ratio (low operating costs)
- no processing required other than simple crushing and screening
- existing 143km rail line to year round marine terminal
- ice strengthened ore carriers can move ore to Europe
- thousands of tonnes already shipped for testing to Europe
- regional government and native groups fully support development

Economics

Pre-Tax NPV $18 Billion
IRR of 20.5% with 3.7 year payback on $4 Billion capital cost
Operating costs $14.62 per tonne
Price Assumptions $67 U.S. per tonne

Primary Risks:

Capital costs in the range of $4 Billion
Economic slowdown will impact iron ore prices for 2009
Iron Ore prices have fallen to $50 from well over $100 earlier this
year

Quick links on the right side of their website provides for excellent
research
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