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Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (69164)	11/21/2008 2:23:19 PM
From: axial	Read Replies (1) of 118717

OPEC doesn't have the stranglehold it used to have. But it still matters - even when they can't get their own members to cooperate. If Saudi Arabia cuts production by 2,000,000 bpd, it matters. OPEC has to be careful... if they jack up prices/restrict production too quickly, they'll turn a recession into a depression. Until 2007, global oil use was growing at 2% annually. bakerinstitute.org It's a balancing act, but you're right: de-leveraging by hedge funds has produced some excellent long-term plays. Or you can just use ETFs. Most producers with cash and no debt should be able weather the low prices. Meanwhile, new production just won't come online at these prices. So when things turn around, prices should move up to the $60-$80 range quickly - it's almost like a short squeeze. Especially if (as expected) USD starts to fall. That alone will raise the price of oil. Jim

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