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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: DebtBomb who wrote (14851)11/22/2008 10:25:44 AM
From: TheSlowLane2 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 71474
 
From what I understand, a lot of the demand for US Dollars recently has been driven by hedge funds selling off foreign investments to meet redemption demands. The proceeds for those sales are converted to USD and then repatriated to meet redemptions.

Another source of demand has been the foreign institutions that loaded themselves up with US agency paper (Fannie/Freddie). They put on USD shorts as a hedge against all that paper they had bought. As the value of that paper diminishes or as they sell those positions down (or both), then the size of the hedges need to be reduced proportionately. That means covering the USD shorts, which drives demand for USD.

This scenario is different than buying USD for fundamental reasons and once it has run its course, then the USD is likely to resume the trajectory described by Mr. Schiff.
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