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Strategies & Market Trends : Value of Perfect Information

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From: Q811/22/2008 6:22:04 PM
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S&P 500 Index Drop Leaves 64 Industries With Losses (Update3)

By Lynn Thomasson and Eric Martin

Nov. 21 (Bloomberg) -- The worst annual decline in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index since 1931 has dragged down every industry in the benchmark gauge and 96 percent of its stocks.

All 64 of the S&P 500's so-called level-three categories, groups such as ``distributors'' and ``leisure equipment'' with as few as one company, dropped in 2008. Four hundred eighty-two companies slipped as the 500-stock index slumped 46 percent, poised for its biggest yearly retreat in eight decades.

``There seems to be no bottom,'' Laszlo Birinyi, who oversees more than $350 million as president of Birinyi Associates Inc. in Westport, Connecticut, said on Bloomberg Television. ``We have no tools that tell us where to go now.''

More stocks decreased in the current bear market than in the 49 percent rout after the technology bubble burst in 2000. The breadth of declines this year is leaving investors without defensive strategies to protect against losses that erased more than $8 trillion from U.S. equities in 2008.

During the S&P 500's retreat between March 2000 and October 2002, nine industries climbed, including two -- tobacco and health-care -- that rose more than 80 percent. Since the S&P 500 peaked in October 2007, nine stocks in the index advanced, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. At least 10 times as many rose in the 2000-2002 sell-off.

Stocks Advance

The S&P 500 gained 6.3 percent to 800.03 today. The benchmark rallied from its lowest level in 11 years after President-elect Barack Obama picked New York Federal Reserve Bank chief Timothy Geithner to head the Treasury.

UST Inc., the Stamford, Connecticut-based snuff maker being acquired by Altria Group Inc., increased the most since the S&P 500 peaked last October, gaining 42 percent. By comparison, 35 stocks in the S&P 500 doubled during the bear market that began in March 2000.

American International Group Inc. posted the year's biggest tumble in the S&P 500 as losses from mortgage-backed securities forced the government to arrange a bailout of the New York-based insurer. Shares from Bear Stearns Cos. to Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., once among the biggest New York-based brokerages, disappeared from the market as credit crisis worsened and led to $965 billion in global losses.

Pricing the Economy

The S&P 500 fell yesterday after jobless claims approached the highest level since 1982 and the Federal Reserve said manufacturing in the Philadelphia area shrank. Bank losses shrunk the economy and sent the gauge down 49 percent from its Oct. 9, 2007, record of 1,565.15.

``None of us know at what point we've sufficiently priced in all of the negative economic news,'' said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab & Co., which oversees $1.3 trillion in San Francisco.

Among industries in the S&P 500, biotechnology companies have fallen the least with a 1.4 percent drop. Twenty-eight lost more than 50 percent, led by 90 percent decline in thrifts and mortgages.

The S&P 500 slid 6.7 percent to 752.44 yesterday after economic reports showed a deepening recession. New York-based Citigroup Inc. plunged 26 percent to $4.71.

A year ago, 12 companies in the S&P 500 traded at less than $10 a share. Now, 125 do.

``It's certainly dysfunctional markets, not tied to anything but the vagaries of emotions,'' said James Paulsen, who helps oversee about $220 billion as chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management Inc. in Minneapolis. ``The fundamentals of the world aren't changing as fast as these prices are.''
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