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Biotech / Medical : Agouron Pharmaceuticals (AGPH)

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To: Tom DuBois who wrote (2455)10/22/1997 8:11:00 PM
From: JOHN W.  Read Replies (1) of 6136
 
The 6-9 months was from L.Moss. "70 by Nov" was irrespective of European approval. Roche will initiate the "launch" prior to Christmas. My guess is that another short lived runup will occur prior to approval and sell off soon thereafter, like back in March. The major move to 70+ is based on the pattern of AGPH that had developed and the rumors/heresay I have heard regarding the data that will be released on AG2034 and AG3340 by Nov (several analyst also mention in upcoming milestones the AG2034 data in 2H:97).

Examining how the stock traded at the end of today, I think we have established a firm support level in the low 50s. With an overall stable mkt, it will be very interesting to see if "capitulation" occurs Thursday/Friday.

The IGEN deal is a commitment to rapidity of delivering the pipeline ( cure for the common cold) to mkt,
although having developed the best protease inhibitor in 38 months
is incredible. Alanex/IGEN=speed.
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