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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host
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To: Gary M. Reed who wrote (1769)10/22/1997 9:08:00 PM
From: Boca_PETE  Read Replies (1) of 42834
 
Gary:

The NY Times Oct 10, 1997 page D1 article stated that the MONTGOMERY national survey only included 750 mutual fund investors who anticipated average annual returns of 34% over the next decade - 3 times the average annual return from stocks over the last 60 years. With such a small sample, I wonder how their sample was chosen (statistically or at random) and what the margin of error in their sampling method was). However, I don't doubt it indicates increasing over-optimism on the part of some mutual fund investors..

What worries me more is the possibility of some unanticpated event (e.g. a huge Asian bank failure) impacting the U.S. stock market as a result of the Asian currencies and stock markets debacle that seems to be snowballing with each passing day. Hong Kong is dropping like an elevator with a cut cable. Am I crazy to be concerned about this ?

P
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