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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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From: Paul Kern12/3/2008 7:03:48 AM
Read Replies (1) of 306849
 
WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--Following is data from the Mortgage Bankers
Association of America's weekly mortgage application survey,
released Wednesday.


Seasonally Unadjusted Seasonally Adjusted
Week : Market Purchase Refi Market Purchase Refi
Ending : Index Index Index Index Index Index
11/28/08 565.1 204.7 2662.0 857.7 361.1 3802.8
11/21/08 373.3 222.0 1254.0 404.4 261.6 1254.0
11/14/08 376.9 221.5 1281.2 398.6 248.5 1281.2
11/07/08 406.2 261.5 1248.4 425.0 284.4 1248.4
10/31/08 367.6 246.1 1075.4 379.9 260.9 1075.4
10/24/08 465.7 289.8 1489.4 476.7 303.1 1489.4
10/17/08 359.4 241.9 1043.0 408.1 279.3 1158.8
10/10/08 479.1 301.3 1514.2 489.3 313.5 1514.2
10/03/08 454.6 301.5 1345.8 465.5 314.5 1345.8
09/26/08 445.0 292.3 1333.9 455.4 304.8 1333.9
09/19/08 581.1 329.9 2043.4 591.4 342.2 2043.4
09/12/08 653.6 370.7 2300.0 661.7 380.4 2300.0
09/05/08 395.4 295.2 978.3 496.2 371.5 1222.9
08/29/08 457.8 354.5 1059.7 453.1 349.0 1059.7




Seasonally Adjusted data for week ending 11/28/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 857.7 404.4 112.1 379.9 791.8
Purchase 361.1 261.6 38.0 260.9 464.3
Refi 3802.8 1254.0 203.3 1075.4 2761.3
Fixed-Rate 887.1 411.3 115.7 388.6 733.8
ARM 254.1 264.4 -3.9 204.6 2016.6

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 1018.8 411.8 147.4 389.4 1138.4
Purchase 406.6 295.9 37.4 316.1 695.4
Refi 3552.9 896.8 296.2 688.8 3006.1
Fixed-Rate 1050.4 414.1 153.7 395.9 1051.6
ARM 371.9 363.2 2.4 256.7 2919.3

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 589.4 392.1 50.3 364.1 214.0
Purchase 295.5 212.3 39.2 181.5 133.9
Refi 5176.8 3178.3 62.9 3156.0 1476.9
Fixed-Rate 614.9 406.1 51.4 375.9 204.3
ARM 43.3 93.0 -53.4 114.3 428.3




Unadjusted data for week ending 11/28/2008

Composite Index Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Market 51.4 367.6 723.6
Purchase -7.8 246.1 373.5
Refi 26 112.3 1075.4 2761.3
Fixed-Rate 53.9 376.0 670.6
ARM -31.4 198.0 1842.9

Conventional Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 78.6 375.3 1042.5
Purchase -8.2 298.2 559.4
Refi 24 177.3 688.8 3006.1
Fixed-Rate 83.1 381.6 963.0
ARM -26.1 247.5 2673.3

Government Market Current Prev Week % Change 4 Wks Ago Year Ago
Total 4.3 354.8 192.0
Purchase -7.0 171.2 107.7
Refi 36 14.0 3156.0 1476.9
Fixed-Rate 5.1 366.2 183.3
ARM -67.7 111.4 384.1



Percent Change In Percent Change
No. Of Applications In Dollar Value Avg
Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Week Ago 4Wks Ago Yr Ago Loan
($000)

Total 51.4 53.7 -21.9 66.8 73.5 -20.4 246.7
Purchase -7.8 -16.8 -45.2 -5.7 -13.6 -48.6 224.8
Refi 112.3 147.5 -3.6 138.8 187.1 1.5 256.5
Fixed-Rate 53.9 55.4 -12.8 73.6 76.8 1.1 241.5
ARM -31.4 -15.4 -90.9 -20.5 13.9 -88.6 623.6


Conventional 78.6 80.1 -35.1 98.7 104.9 -32.8 260.6
Purchase -8.2 -22.7 -58.8 -6.5 -18.9 -59.7 244.1
Refi 177.3 261.1 -17.3 224.7 332.1 -12.6 266.8
Fixed-Rate 83.1 82.7 -27.6 112.1 110.9 -15.2 253.8
ARM -26.1 -0.3 -90.8 -18.1 24.9 -88.2 650.8


Government 4.3 7.1 98.0 4.1 10.1 158.9 205.6
Purchase -7.0 -2.1 55.5 -3.5 3.4 74.9 186.9
Refi 14.0 14.8 145.4 9.3 14.6 264.5 218.7
Fixed-Rate 5.0 8.3 116.4 4.8 11.6 227.2 205.6
ARM -67.7 -75.0 -92.7 -67.9 -79.2 -96.2 198.8




Change in Contract Rate (bps)
Effective Total Contract 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year
Rate Points Rate Ago Ago Ago
30-Year Fixed 5.70 1.16 5.47 -51 -100 -34
15-Year Fixed 5.45 1.28 5.13 -65 -102 -25
ARM, 1-Yr Tsy 6.74 0.52 6.61 -27 -25 33
FHA 203 (b) 5.98 1.18 5.78 -38 -81 -19
All rates except FHA 203(b) are for 80% loan-to-value mortgage.
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